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W.Va. at DNC08

Negotiating the decline of West Virginia coal

by: Clem Guttata

Wed Jul 08, 2009 at 15:59:10 PM EDT


Global climate change is accelerating more quickly than earlier forecasts. The latest bad climate news is Arctic ice is thinning dramatically. We're also learning that Arctic permafrost stores even more CO2 than previously thought; that's yet another negative feedback loop that will speed up global climate change.

While some ask if Waxman Markley is worth it, doing nothing is frightfully expensive ("Dependence on Big Oil, Dirty Coal Could Cost U.S. $30 Trillion By 2030").

Political Will

Thankfully, the negative cycles dictated by chemistry and physics are starting to be counter-acted by virtuous cycles of human action. The passage of Waxman Markey by the House of Representatives is already bearing fruit abroad. Just as United States inaction slowed international action the past eight years of the Bush administration, other countries are now ready to follow our positive lead.

Now that Democrats hold a 60-vote majority in the Senate, the odds of passing climate change legislation increase further. (Not all 60 Democratic Senators will vote for the bill, but it will be very difficult for a Democratic Sen. to filibuster a major piece of the party's agenda.)

Even if a version of Waxman Markey fails to become law this year, the days of unfettered expansion of the coal industry are over. The United State Environmental Protection Agency now has authority to regulate greenhouse gases as an endangerment to public health.

King Coal: Dead of Alive?

There's a great deal of debate over what the impact of Waxman Markey will be on the coal industry. On one side you have Rep. Boucher (D-VA) pushing the bill and the United Mine Workers saying "the future of coal will be intact" the bill provides the coal industry everything it needs to succeed (edit per UMWA clarification). On another side, you have one analyst saying "coal use in 2020 would drop by more than 25% compared to 2005 levels". In between, Rep. Rahall (D-WV) says the bill provides lots of great things for coal, but not quite enough.

Near as I can tell, the difference in opinion all comes down to shades of optimism around carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technology. As Ken Ward, Jr. recently asked, "Without CCS, is coal facing 'valley of death'?"

Can CCS save West Virginia Coal?

There is good reason to be skeptical about carbon-capture and sequestration as a savior for West Virginia coal. First of all, it is an unproven technology with serious technological hurdles (emphasis mine):

1. Cost: Coal plants with CCS are very expensive today. The total extra cost for this process, including geological storage in sealed underground sites, is currently quite high, $30 to $80 a ton of carbon dioxide, according to the Department of Energy's Office of Fossil Energy, "Carbon Sequestration R&D Overview." And that is on top of the cost of new coal plants, which have become very expensive. In the future, it seems rather unlikely that CCS would be a low-cost solution. [snip] Energy efficiency along with lots of low-carbon generation sources beat that easily now or will very soon.

2. Timing: The world does not even have a single large-scale (300+ MW) coal plant with CCS anywhere in the world. [snip] As Howard Herzog of MIT's Laboratory for Energy and the Environment said in Feburary "How can we expect to build hundreds of these plants when we're having so much trouble building the first one?"

3. Scale: We need to put in place a dozen or so clean energy "stabilization wedges" by mid-century to avoid catastrophic climate outcomes - see "Is 450 ppm (or less) politically possible? Part 1." For CCS to be even one of those would require a flow of CO2 into the ground equal to the current flow of oil out of the ground. That would require, by itself, re-creating the equivalent of the planet's entire oil delivery infrastructure, no mean feat.

4. Permanence and transparency: If Putin's Russia said it was sequestering 100 million tons of CO2 in the ground permanently, and wanted other countries to pay it billions of dollars to do so, would anyone trust them? No. The potential for fraud and bribery are simply too enormous. But would anyone trust China? Would anyone trust a U.S. utility, for that matter? We need to set up some sort of international regime for certifying, monitoring, verifying, and inspecting geologic repositories of carbon - like the U.N. weapons inspections systems. The problem is, this country hasn't been able to certify a single storage facility for a high-level radioactive waste after two decades of trying and nobody knows how to monitor and verify underground CO2 storage. It could take a decade just to set up this system.

The House version of the Waxman Markey bill throws a lot of money--tens of billions of dollars--at those problems, but that doesn't make them solvable. Even more to the point, there is no guarantee that money spent on developing CCS technology will reach West Virginians.

This brings me to a key point, my greatest fear for West Virginia with the current bill:

We can easily fall into a horrible worst-case scenario--the West Virginia coal industry limps along for another decade while billions are spent in other parts of the country in the failed development of carbon-capture and sequestration. Meanwhile, the false hope of extended viability of coal leaves West Virginia paralyzed by the dazzling sparkles of twilight twinkling off of King Coal's crown.

There's got to be a better way.

Negotiating the decline of West Virginia coal

The climate change legislation in front of the Senate is a golden opportunity for West Virginia to negotiate the terms of the decline of our coal industry.

Instead of trying to increase incentives and investments to help the coal industry, Sens. Byrd and Rockefeller should work on incentives and investments that will help Appalachians make the difficult transition away from a carbon-based economy. We need a hand-up for the people of Appalachia, not another hand-out for coal companies.

Sens. Byrd and Rockefeller have both been tireless champions of diversifying the West Virginia economy. They are responsible for helping to develop tens of thousands of quality West Virginia jobs (private employers like Toyota and Hino Trucks; countless public agencies; and numerous research centers). They both intimately know the value of developing all sectors of the West Virginia economy.

Now is the time for West Virginia to start developing a significant alternative energy economy.

A Greener West Virginia Economy

As much as I'd like to see the Appalachian region follow the lead of another historical coal-producing powerhouse (Wales) and set a target for energy self-sufficiency with renewables in 20 year, I'd settle for West Virginia to move to the position of having a vibrant and growing alternative energy economy (not our current small and shrinking one).

We can solve the climate crisis. The key technologies and key solutions are well known. One way or another, major change is coming to West Virginia. The question that remains is:

Will West Virginia seize the moment to negotiate the transition away from coal on its own terms?

We've got smart, hard-working people working for us up in Washington. They know better than I do what the right kinds of details are to get into the climate change legislation. I've talked about a few suggestions in the diaries "responsibly end mountain top removal" and "A model of coalfield development in the other Virginia."

We know clean energy policies create jobs. West Virginia is going to be hit particularly hard with the transition away from coal. Let's make sure West Virginia gets its fair share of those new jobs.

West Virginia is in a fortunate position for a small state--we enjoy significant political power in the United State Congress. Now is a critical time for Sens. Rockefeller and Byrd to wield that power for the benefit of West Virginians.

Flickr photo credits: Alaska Day 3 by Matt Bernius, Interior of a Coal Mine in W. Va. by modashell, and NIOSH Robert C Byrd building by rmcgervey.

Clem Guttata :: Negotiating the decline of West Virginia coal
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The writing's on the wall. As coal gets phased out, West Virginia will need more progressive leadership to survive. (4.00 / 2)
Everyone knows "clean coal" is a myth and that Even China has started trying to clean up its act. China is even planning a stimulus package worth 440 billion dollars to expand its renewable energy use.

And here in the U.S., major cities have begun phasing out coal.

Coal-fired power - mostly imported from outside of California - currently accounts for 40% of the energy consumed in Los Angeles. Villaraigosa says that all this power will be replaced by renewable projects to be delivered by the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP), with the rest coming from natural gas, nuclear, and large hydroelectric units. LADPW says that renewables will already account for 20% of the power it supplies by 2010.

The project will form the core of LADWP's mission to cut its carbon emissions by up to 60% from 1990 levels. The company will make additional emission cuts through efficiency gains, which it ways will reduce electricity consumption by 1% annually for the next ten years. source

Meanwhile just across the border from our own state...

Richmond - A new report shows that investing in energy efficiency instead of building the Wise County coal plant to meet the same electricity demand would yield hundreds of millions of dollars more annually for the state and create at least 2,600 more jobs than the controversial
585-megawatt coal-fired power plant. The benefits would be even greater if, as anticipated, the federal government enacts controls on global warming emissions.

The report compares the economic effects of building Dominion Power's Wise County coal plant with investing in energy efficiency measures that would meet the same electricity demand. The study finds that avoiding construction of the coal plant by investing in efficiency would save the average household in Dominion's service territory between $52 and $91 per year in 2012.  source



California is a great example of what (4.00 / 2)
efficiency standards can do and have done. As the population has grown total energy use has stayed constant, meaning the person energy consumption has declined. I used to live in the same county as the Tehachapi Wind Farm. Newer wind turbines dwarf the older ones.

Los Angeles is also unique as they retained their municipal power generation. This made them immune to the Enron energy derivatives scandal the drove Gov. Davis out of office and gave them Aunurld.

But not me personally were those cheers for (1-6-7-5-2-8-3-4)--Sarah Palin

You know, you have such a stunningly superficial knowledge of what went on that it's almost embarrassing to listen to you--Zbigniew Brzezinski


[ Parent ]
Excellent diary (4.00 / 1)
Well written and highly informative. I hope people heed the call.

When a man embarks upon a crime, he is morally guilty of any other crime which may spring from it. Sherlock Holmes.

Great job! (4.00 / 2)
I wish every policy maker in WV would take the time to read and consider it carefully.

In a good conversation everyone speaks.  In a great conversation some even listen.


Clarifiying the UMWA's position (4.00 / 2)
Clem, you've got the UMWA's position on this legislation wrong. We have never said that the bill "provides the coal industry everything it needs to succeed." Far from it. We have said that the money in the bill dedicated to coal and CCS is remarkable (although some of that was lost on the House floor) and that, if passed, the future of coal will be intact. But we have not endorsed or supported the bill and still do not. There is much more to do, from our perspective, to make the legislation acceptable to our members, their families and their communities.

And although I appreciate your concern for what happens to miners and their communities if West Virginia and the U.S. transition away from carbon-based energy generation, merely offering the prospect of a "green-job" nirvana is not nearly enough. You're asking people to give up jobs that pay over $22 per hour, plus benefits, and take something that maybe, just maybe could be available but if it is, it will pay less than half of what they previously made, with few, if any benefits.

There has never been a successful job "transition" or "replacement" scheme that has ever worked when basic U.S. industries have been reduced or even wiped out. You can still see the results of those wrong-headed and ineffective attempts in Youngstown Oh., Flint Mich., Clairton, Pa. and any number of former industrial towns that are now largely boarded up and without much hope.  

All of us who care about the long-term continuation of coal jobs and relatively inexpensive energy in America are pinning a lot of hopes into the development of CCS technology. We believe, like President Obama, that it is workable and, indeed, that it must become available for there to be a stable energy and economic future for the U.S. That is why we are working so hard to get the funding needed to make it happen.

It's not just about coal jobs, though for us that is the primary concern. It's also about keeping energy costs down and making us less reliant on foreign sources of energy. Yes, let's develop alternative and renewable sources of energy. But if America is to remain a world economic leader in the long term coal must remain a strong part of our nation's energy mix.

And I would also point out that it is curious, to say the least, to see a vigorously nonunion employer like Toyota (in the U.S., at least) touted on a Democratic blog as an example of the jobs we should be creating in West Virginia. Supporting companies that work hard to remain nonunion only helps drive wages, benefits and standards of living down, not up. Yes, let's get more manufacturing jobs in West Virginia. Let's also see more progressive Democrats take a lead in doing all they can to organize those workplaces.  


Thank you for responding, Phil (4.00 / 2)
Phil -- Thank you for clarifying the UMWA position. I'll update the diary accordingly.

As to your final point, that's the easiest to dispatch with. I was merely pointing out that Sens. Rockefeller and Byrd already have vast experience to draw on in non-coal-related job creation. (I can't hit every policy plank in every diary.) We've been loud, strong, consistent advocates for the EFCA (as one example) on this blog. I dare say we here cover labor as closely and sympathetically as anyone in this state. (We're not so good at tagging stories consistently, so that link is not even close to everything labor-related that's been posted here.)

To the major thrust of your comments, I'm afraid I may not have made my key points clearly enough:

No amount of money can guarantee that CCS will work. I don't think it ever will on the scale that is required. The very best case scenario puts CCS at least a decade out before it is deployed at scale and even longer before it makes a major contribution to carbon reductions. Meanwhile, there is no guarantee that the money spent developing CCS technology helps West Virginia residents or UMWA members.

Another point we probably disagree on is coal is only "relatively inexpensive energy in America" when you ignore its major negative externalities. The writing is one the wall: when you put a price on the major negative effects of burning coal, it no longer looks so cheap.

I fear those few well-paying mining jobs left in West Virginia are going to be fewer and fewer in number no matter what Congress does this year. The question I'm asking is, who is looking out for the interests of the citizens of West Virginia not just the interests of coal company owners?

Even if past job "transition" or "replacement" schemes sucked (and, yes, they did), we still owe it to ourselves to try something new and innovative to diversity the Appalachian economy. Putting all of our eggs in one high-risk high-expense CCS basket is a recipe for a stinky mess.

Thank you again for the clarification and for entering in a dialogue on this important topic.


[ Parent ]
Phil (4.00 / 2)
Aren't most MTR jobs nonunion?

When a man embarks upon a crime, he is morally guilty of any other crime which may spring from it. Sherlock Holmes.

[ Parent ]
The answer is yes. There are reportedly only around 300 UMWA jobs dependent upon on MTR. (4.00 / 1)
Practically the entire coal industry is owned by absentee trans national elitists who have historically dismissed coal-mining-related deaths as "no more than might be expected", and who regard bulldozing homes and family cemeteries in Appalachia as "consistent with our philosophy" source.

Since the runaway use of surface mining they've repeatedly demonstrated that their core problem was that there were still too many hillbillies camped in "their" coal-rich hills and hollows. A perfect example was when Massey thugs tried bullying the peaceful group gathered at Larry Gibson's annual picnic on Kayford Mountain just this last 4th of July.

Phil, if coal mining going to survive at all, you should probably start trying to convince UMWA leadership that mountain top removal is directly causing everyone to shun coal altogether. Because your union's lack of foresight can be directly attributed to the loss of thousands of deep mining jobs for the want of several hundred ecoterrorist union members!


[ Parent ]
Yes, Carnaki, most MTR jobs are nonunion. (4.00 / 2)
But, in fact, about 1,000 UMWA members work in jobs in West Virginia that are related to MTR. That includes workers at the mines themselves, preparations plants, load out facilities, and mine construction workers.

We believe those workers deserve as much representation as we can give them, and that includes working to preserve their jobs as best we can. As a union, we cannot pick and choose which members we will represent and which we won't. Once we start doing that we stop being a union.

I would also point out to One Citizen that the UMWA does not make decisions about where and how coal is mined -- the companies do. We do not control the actions of those companies. Whether we support or oppose any form of mining really doesn't make a difference in terms of the decisions companies make with respect to how they mine coal. They are going to try to do it in the most profitable way allowed by law, which should surprise no one.

So to say, as some do, that the UMWA somehow allowed MTR to happen or that we have a "lack of foresight" is just wrong. It was not our decision to make nor to influence.

But we do believe that all workers, regardless of where they work, deserve the benefit of union membership and a union contract. That includes workers at surface mines.

I would also remind One Citizen that the drunken thugs who showed up on July 4 were not union members. So I'm trying to figure out just who and what he means by "terrorist union members."  


[ Parent ]
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