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If either Rep. Rahall or Mollohan are still giving serious consideration to a no vote to the healthcare insurance reform bill, here's something that should give them pause.
The folks who might be happy with them voting "no" aren't the folks who are all that likely to vote for them anyway. Voting "no" is the wrong thing to do on the merits and it's the wrong thing to do on the politics, too.
Alabama Democratic Rep. Artur Davis thinks he's earning brownie points back home by voting against the health care reform bill. You see, he's running for governor in a tough state, and so he needs Republican and conservative independents to win.
But he won't get them and will lose by 20 points, minimum.
There is no politician more stupid, than those who think that pretending to be Republicans will earn them points with conservative voters. Given the choice between a fake and the real thing, the real Republican will win every time.
This healthcare reform bill is the largest deficit reduction bill since 1993. This is a bill that has support from a broad range of groups from the Catholic Nuns to AFL-CIO to the AMA.
This is a bill that any lifelong Democrat can be very proud to vote for.
Update: Since this may well be my last diary on the topic before a vote sometime tomorrow, I'll repeat a comment from a couple days ago, too:
I will be surprised for political reasons and disappointed for personal ones if Nick Rahall votes against. My read on WV-03 is the fundamental motivation for his opposition this cycle is the economy and fealty to coal interests--stuff like government health care is a distant secondary concern.
At a more personal level, my take on Rahall is he fundamentally believes in what the bill is about.
I will be really disappointed if he caves in to short-term political pressure and votes against the bill now. He's already voted in favor of a very similar bill. If he votes no this time around he's not going to please anyone--he'll piss off people who support HCR and he'll still leave those against HCR unhappy because he voted for it once already.
In all, I predict that both Rahall and Mollohan will vote for the bill.
It's a lot more fun to run a campaign talking about real accomplishments. It's a lot more fun to run a campaign talking about votes based on ideals rather than cynicism. Polls are already showing that as the bill gets closer to passing that more people like it. After it passes it will be even more popular. Neither one of them will want to be one the wrong side of history on this bill.
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