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Perdue rising in internal poll

by: Carnacki

Wed Apr 13, 2011 at 15:59:25 PM EDT


While the polls released so far have shown Earl Ray Tomblin and Natalie Tennant leading the Democratic gubernatorial primary, John Perdue has released his internal poll showing him surging.

From his web site:

April 13, 2011
Results a "Game Changer" in Democratic Gubernatorial Election

Charleston, WV - A new survey, conducted by one of the nation's most successful Democratic polling firms, shows John Perdue surging and Earl Ray Tomblin and Natalie Tennant stalling in the May 14 Democratic Primary race.

Secrest Strategic Services (formerly Cooper & Secrest Associates) surveyed 606 likely Democratic Primary special election voters on April 10-11 on behalf of the Perdue for Governor Campaign (margin of error: plus or minus 4 points).

"These results show a significant shift in this election," said George Manahan, campaign spokesman. "It's a game changer."

Tomblin leads the race with 28 percent, followed by Tennant (20 percent) and Perdue (18 percent). However, among voters who have seen Perdue's TV commercials, the contest is a statistical dead heat between Tomblin (27 percent) and Perdue (26 percent).

"It's clearly a two-person race between Tomblin and Perdue," said Manahan. "The more people that hear John's stance on utility rate increases, the more he gains in the polls and the quicker Tomblin and Tennant drop."

In addition, when voters hear the contrast between Perdue ("freeze and rollback utility rates") and his opponents ("all of the other leading candidates have accepted campaign contributions from utility companies"), Perdue moves out to a substantial lead at 43 percent with Tomblin at 16 percent, Tennant at nine percent, Jeff Kessler and Arnie Moltis at three and two percent respectively.

"It isn't often that polling data are as unambiguous as these," said Alan Secrest, president of Secrest Strategic Services. "There's a long way to go in this race, but the momentum, and the greatest potential for growth, lies with Big John Perdue."

Carnacki :: Perdue rising in internal poll
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Perdon't Math (4.00 / 1)
Remember last fall when John Perdue told Phil Kabler he raised $153K at the home of Scott Segal (and wife Justice Robin Davis of Boone County)?

Let's recap: (emphasis mine)

October 4, 2010, Monday
Charleston Gazette Pg. P5A
BYLINE: Phil Kabler

TREASURER John Perdue stopped by to chat last week, primarily to talk about why the media is treating him as the Rodney Dangerfield of the circa 2011/2012 gubernatorial candidates. (True, Perdue's announcement in July that he was running for governor generated practically zero news coverage.)

I told Perdue the media would probably start taking his candidacy more seriously as soon as he starts raising some serious money.

To that end, Perdue's first fundraiser was Thursday, at the palatial home of Charleston lawyer Scott Segal, husband of state Supreme Court Justice Robin Davis.

Perdue reportedly raised $153,000, which would be a good start toward respectability as a gubernatorial candidate.

Unfortunately for John Perdue and his office staff, even in the political spin cycle you gotta come clean sometime.
So how did that same much-bragged-about fundraiser get reported in his official 2011 Annual Report for his 2012 Campaign Finance Report?

CRW 2010 Event Summary
Date of Event: 9/30/2010
Type of Event: Reception
Name of Place Held: Scott Segal residence
Total Monetary Contributions: $26,700.00
Total Expenditures: -$6,449.46
NET RECEIPTS: = $20,250.54
Total In-Kind Contributions Related to the Fundraiser $0.00

So let's do some math for our Treasurer (and/or staffers):

Reported to the press for show: $153,000
Reported to the WVSOS for real: $ 26,700

Discrepancy between Big John talk and Big John walk: ($126,300)

John Perdue purposefully inflated his fundraising numbers by nearly 500% to try and manipulate the public (and donors) via the press.

That is disgusting.

John Perdue has no credibility.


Unreal (4.00 / 1)
This is a bit sad to attack on, especially considering the massive negatives of other candidates in the race (Look at Earl Ray's track record and look at who is financing his campaign) .  John Perdue is the only candidate in this race who has the guts to take on the corporate interests that have been crucial in harming our state's natural resources and hurting our citizens' pocketbooks.  

[ Parent ]
Public trust (4.00 / 1)
So you don't deny that Big John just got called out for a Big Lie? Good.
No doubt the others have plenty of negatives. I'll gladly call them out too when they brag on them.

The point is this: John Perdue told a huge fib and got caught. He, and/or his campaign, thought it would help raise funds. John Perdue purposefully deceived the public.

This internal poll screams of the same sad theory. In fact, from WVMetroNews:

"If I'm a John Perdue supporter, I'm reaching into my pocketbook right now and writing him a check," Spokesperson George Manahan said on Wednesday's MetroNews Talkline.

I guess that line is directed to Treasurer's Office employees?

I maintain that John Perdue has lost his credibility. Big time.

Would you like to discuss the pollster instead?


[ Parent ]
What corporate interests did he take on? (4.00 / 1)


[ Parent ]
Shame on You (4.00 / 1)
I doubt Treasurer Perdue would lie about how much he raised. He's an honest man in my opinion and the difference probably has to do with all that business about refunding contributions so people can give their money to the special election. THAT is the rediculous part. Bad call Natalie Tennant.

[ Parent ]
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WVa Democrats
  • Sen. Jay Rockefeller
  • Sen. Joe Manchin III
  • Joe Manchin for Senate (2010/2012)
  • Rep. Nick Rahall (WV-03)
  • Secretary of State Natalie Tennant
  • Auditor Glen Gainer
  • Treasurer John Perdue
  • Agriculture Commissioner Gus Douglass
  • Attorney General Darrell V. McGraw
  • Senate President Earl Ray Tomblin, acting as Gov.
  • Declared Candidates
  • Jeff Kessler
  • John Perdue
  • Natalie Tennant
  • Earl Ray Tomblin
  • Rick Thompson

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