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Big Daddy Sen. Robert C. Byrd
Mike Callaghan

Richie Robb

by: Carnacki

Thu Jan 10, 2008 at 08:20:07 AM EST

I liked Richie Robb when I was introduced to him in 2006. But when I went looking for a candidate to draft for the 2008 race, I didn't even consider him. The Democratic voters had already looked at him in his primary bid and soundly rejected him. He finished third of the three candidates. If he had done a better job in the primary, he might have been worth a second look. But he raised even less funds than the lackluster fundraiser Mike Callaghan.

If Robb was serious about running for West Virginia 02, he would have declared his intentions months ago. If he should decide to jump in now, there is not enough time for him to fundraise to be competitive nor is there time to introduce himself to voters across the district who did not know him.

My goal is to defeat Capito. If I thought Robb would have a chance of doing that, I would have sought Robb out. But all he can really do is be the Ralph Nader of WV-02 and possibly undermine efforts to remove her from office.

But if he wanted to be a viable candidate against an entrenched, corporate funded incumbent like her, he would have had to have entered months ago because even with her vulnerabilities, it's going to take a mighty effort to get her out of office. Jumping in at the filing deadline is not going to do it.

Discuss :: (10 Comments)

2006 Berkeley and Jefferson County Vote Totals: Byrd, Capito and Unger

by: Clem Guttata

Sat Jun 02, 2007 at 15:49:55 PM EDT

Last night when a thunderstorm got in the way of my Internet connection (one of the joys of mountain-top living with satellite Internet), I was inspired to follow up on a point I made in the diary "It's official: John Unger challenging vulnerable Republican Shelley Moore Capito in WV-02".

In Tom Searls otherwise solid coverage he didn't quite get Unger's 2006 election results right. Here are my tabulations. They are based on unofficial results I grabbed for the Eastern Panhandle the day after the election. If you've got better ("more official") numbers, let me know.

RaceCandidate

Berkeley County

Jefferson County

Total
U.S. SenateRobert Byrd 10,900 8,212  19,112
U.S. HouseShelley Moore Capito12,282 6,760  19,042
U.S. HouseMike Callaghan 7,027 5,715 12,742
State SenateJohn Unger 11,081 ** 8,260 19,341

** Unger's district includes:
59 of 65 (91%) of Berkeley County precincts.
30 of 30 (100%) of Jefferson Count precincts.

Even with 6 less precincts of eligible votes, Unger got more total votes than Capito or Byrd in his district. If he'd drawn votes at the same rate in those 6 precincts, he'd have picked up another ~1100 votes in Berkeley County, too.

Margin of Victory

In Jefferson and Berkeley Counties combined, Byrd received 60.2% of the votes cast in his race, Capito 59.9% in her race and Unger 64.7% in his.
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Capito is anti-abortion - use it against her

by: Carnacki

Tue Apr 10, 2007 at 20:43:17 PM EDT

( - promoted by Carnacki)

I think Jane Hamsher hits on something about Republican presidential candidate Rudy Guiliani's supporters that is also true of U.S. Rep. Shelley Moore Capito's.

From Jane:

There is a central misconception at play wherein people believe that because the social conservatives make so much noise about abortion, it's something they actually care about.  It isn't.  It's an abstraction.  If you think they really give a happy hootie about innocent fetuses, you're living in a fool's paradise.  George Bush could say the war on terror will be won tomorrow by stringing up Islamofascist blastulae and torturing them at Guantanamo Bay and nobody would make a peep. Not a one.  Being anti-abortion is an article of faith, a calling card, a way of saying you are a member of the tribe. It's Michelle Malkin showing up in a white hood to the Klan meeting.  The "unborn child" is what they profess to care about because what they really care about are self-determined urban women with lives of their own who take their jobs away and have sex and don't bake quite enough pies, and they hate 'em.  But that's not okay to say so we get yet another chorus of "Every Sperm is Sacred."

Mike Callaghan ran as the Democratic candidate against Capito in 2006 by saying that he too, like Capito, was pro-choice and thought abortion should be safe, legal and rare.

He tried to frame the debate in a way to make it a non-issue for the voters of West Virginia's 2nd District.

In a sense, this also bought into the faux idea that Capito is a "moderate" -- which is how she has marketed herself to the voters even though her voting record is much different.

Now Capito has touted herself as "pro-choice" although she claims she is personally opposed to abortion and is even a member of the pro-choice Republican group The Wish List.

But her voting record shows she is on par with the extremists in the Republican Party. Her pro-choice stance is largely a myth:

2005-2006  Representative Capito supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 50 percent in 2005-2006.

2005  Representative Capito supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 25 percent in 2005.

2004  Representative Capito supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 35 percent in 2004.

2003-2004  Representative Capito supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 73 percent in 2003-2004.

2003  Representative Capito supported the interests of the NARAL Pro-Choice America 30 percent in 2003.

2001-2002  Representative Capito supported the interests of the National Right to Life Committee 75 percent in 2001-2002.

snip

1995-2004  On the votes that the National Family Planning & Reproductive Health Assocation considered to be the most important in 1995-2004, Representative Capito voted their preferred position 38 percent of the time.

Where I disagree with Jane is that not all those opposed to abortion do so for tribal identification. There are some who have sincere qualms on the issue because of their religious teaching. The way to tell whether someone is opposed to abortion out of a sincere interpretation of the Bible or whether it is simply to be part of "The Tribe" is to look at their views on poverty.

The Bible mentions helping the poor in more than 3,000 verses.

When you look at the voting records of West Virginia's Democratic representatives Alan Mollohan and Nick Rahall, you see they are opposed to abortion but that they have been strong advocates at helping the needy throughout their careers.

A Martinsburg businessman I know told me he votes Republican to protect the "unborn" and as he said it he laughed cynically because he and I both knew all he cared about was tax cuts for his high income bracket. He told me as long as it brought in the votes for his party, he was perfectly willing to pretend to care about abortion as a political issue.

He got what he wanted -- tax cuts. But those who claim to care about abortion as a political issue, what have they gotten out of it?

The Republicans dominated the White House, the Supreme Court and both the House and Senate for years and they never did anything about the issue. Those in power, like my cynical businessman friend, would never give up a "wedge" issue that they use for tribal identification.

With Capito, abortion is just yet another issue where she talks out of both sides of her mouth. She tells voters she's personally opposed to abortion, but that she is a pro-choice moderate. Capito does that because she knows that the majority of Americans are in favor of keeping abortion legal. Only 29 percent of Americans in a recent survey want to see Roe v. Wade overturned while 62 percent do not. The vast majority of Americans do not want to see women locked up if they had an abortion. Yet that is the extremist right-wing view that the Capitos in Congress would allow to happen if they thought it would bring in more campaign dollars than their current pretense of caring about the issue does now.

One of the (many) places Callaghan erred in his campaign was by telling voters he and Capito were both pro-choice.

What Callaghan should have done -- and what the next Democratic candidate in WV-02 should do -- is let the voters know that Capito has a voting record that is mostly anti-abortion while at the same time she endorses Republican economic policies that actually drive up the demand for abortions.

Studies have shown that the leading factor in deciding whether a woman has an abortion is economic.

As a friend pointed out to me, the hard-core "anti-abortion" crowd is really the same extremist crowd that is anti-union, anti-equal pay and rights for women. When Democratic House and Senate leaders proposed funding programs to cut down on unplanned pregnancies to eliminate the need for abortions, the vast majority of Republicans opposed the plan. The Republicans and the majority of their wingnut voters have proven time after time that "anti-abortion" doesn't mean they oppose abortion. It means they oppose women controlling their own lives.

Through her votes, Capito supports that extremist view of women that would criminalize them for doing what they thought best for their families.

Capito's support of the GOP budget priorities means less sex education and birth control, as well as less pre-natal care and less opportunities for meaningful jobs. (Anyone remember the twisted logical contortions Capito went through on her employee choice vote? She said one thing, voted the opposite, and acted as if she could fool all of the voters all of the time -- which considering how poor of a job the Martinsburg Journal does at covering her votes and statements has worked for her in the past.)

Meanwhile Democrats like Rahall and Mollohan -- as well as her Democratic challenger -- were far more consistent. Rahall and Mollohan oppose abortion -- and support economic policies to help cut down on the need for them.

Callaghan didn't state the differences between himself and Capito enough on the issue of reproductive rights because he thought the difference would scare off potential voters.

He was wrong. As many so-called "anti-abortion" voters have shown time after time, they don't really care about the issue. It's just part of the total extremist, ideological package. Callaghan could have been the most anti-abortion candidate in the world and Capito willing to perform abortions in front of crowds, and the wing nuts would have still voted for Capito because she is a reliable Republican Rubber Stamp for their other issues.

The next Democratic candidate should emphasis that. The Republicans don't really care about the "unborn child" so there is absolutely no reason to try to appeal to them as if they did. Instead of trying to appeal to the Republican base, the next Democratic candidate in WV-02 should appeal to the Democratic base and the independent voters who want abortion safe and legal.

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